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Проверен архив на футболните прогнози

Публичен архив с времеви печат на футболни прогнози, приключени от януари 2025 г. Възвръщаемост за целия период: +16.7% при 1294 прогнози. Баланс 795-489. Независимо дублиран в архива Blogabet.

Показани са последните 100 изиграни прогнози.

ДатаПървенствоМачИзборКоеф.РезултатЕдиници
2026-07-24SuperLigaАрджеш vs ПетролулArges are 14/19 under this line at home, Petrolul opponents are 11/20 under 4.5. The model puts the fair odds at 1.44 so this has +11.2% value. Positive start for Petrolul with a 1:0 win over Dinamo, Arges lost 2:0 vs FCSB. 1.72Спечелена+0.72
2026-07-24MrBit Vtora LigaБерое vs Хебър2nd league, 1st round. Beroe got relegated from the top flight, almost all of their foreign players left and there are still strong rumours that the financial situation in the club continues to be very bad. On top of that the game will be played without fans as Beroe are serving a 1-game suspension from last season. 1.62Загубена-1.00
2026-07-23Europa LeagueQarabag vs ЦСКА СофияWanted to take 2.23 but odds continue to drop. CSKA Sofia's peformance vs Derry City was shaky, to say the least. Conceded 2 goals in Sofia, then in the away game 2 clear chances for Derry in the 1st half (2nd one hitting the post). Derry finally took the lead in the 2nd half and when things looked like heading to extra time, a big defensive mistake which you can expect from teams at Derry's level allowed the guests to equalise. Despite this Derry was able to apply big pressure in the last 15-20 minutes, lots of set pieces and dangerous crosses. Even if Qarabag is not as strong as 2 years ago when they eliminated Ludogorec, they should still be able to cause big problems for this version of CSKA Sofia's defence. 2.15Загубена-1.00
2026-07-20Efbet LigaСлавия София vs ЦСКА СофияThe model estimates +12.4% value on this bet with fair odds at 1.37. Slavia is 17/20 under this line at home and CSKA Sofia opponents are 16/20 under when playing at home. Gidzhenov refereeing - home teams are 12/20 under in his games. CSKA Sofia played a very tough away game Derry City on Thursday and this Thursday have an even harder game at Qarabaq. So even if things are not going well for them in this game I don't expect them to push at 100% and force Slavia to get 4+ cards1.65Спечелена+0.65
2026-07-19Efbet LigaБотев Враца vs Черно мореBotev's games are 15/20 under 9.5 at home, Cherno more games are 14/20 under away. 1st round of the season, at 19:30 it will still be hot enough to guarantee a lower tempo. No significant transfers in both teams. In fact Cherno more is operating on a restricted budget this year, the main signing on their end is striker Aleks Kolev, who might receive more crosses but still the odds look too high. 2.05Спечелена+1.05
2026-07-18World CupФранция vs АнглияThe line is 21.5 at Betano. No referee announcement yet but the 3rd place game is usually like a friendly. Both teams are disappointed by failing to reach the final, some reserve players will play and everyone will be focused on getting some rest and avoiding injuries before the next season in the top leagues which starts in less than a month. France is 9/20 Under 22.5 - their 3 group games went under, then the 4 elimination games went over but they had 24, 24, 23 and 23 respectively - so even though they were high stakes games they went just over. 1.85Спечелена+0.85
2026-07-18Efbet LigaЛудогорец vs Локомотив ПловдивLudogorec home games are 18/20 under this line, Loko's away games are 12/20 under. Grebencharski is refereeing - 14/20 under. Both teams played in the last game of the last season - the Europa Conference League playoff - that game had exactly 24 (7:17) fouls so even then they didn't cover. Ludogorec with a new coach but not enough quality signings yet so no signal they will be better after the disastrous last season. They also have a tough away game in Europa Conference League vs Hapoel Tel Aviv.1.8Загубена-1.00
2026-07-17Efbet LigaЛевски София vs Дунав РусеDunav is the only newly promoted team this year and they start with a very tough challenge at Georgi Asparuhov. Levski has a Champions League game away at Universitatea Cluj next week but they have a good depth in their squad to make some rotations and their morale should be high after the 4:0 win vs Borac Banja Luka. Levski's opponents are 12/20 under this line at Georgi Asparuhov. Dunav will try to keep 0:0 for as long as possible and even if the Levski is up 2-3 nil probably won't get many attacks until the last 30 minutes. 1.8Спечелена+0.80
2026-07-17Efbet LigaСпартак Варна vs ЦСКА 19481st round of the new season - even though it won't be as hot in Varna as in the rest of the country I don't expect a very high tempo. CSKA 1948 have an away game in Europa Conference League against Spartak Trnava that will definitely be on their minds. No spectacular transfers on their end so I don't think they are stronger than last year. At the same time Spartak got a lot of new players, mostly from the relegated Dobrudzha but there are some decent players among them. They also brought back striker Ahmed Ahmedov. CSKA 1948 is 13/20 under 6.5 away and Spartak opponents are 10/20 under in Varna. 1.8Спечелена+0.80
2026-07-14World CupФранция vs ИспанияAfter Ivan Barton was announced as the referee last night the total line increased from 23.5 to 24.5 and the line for Spain went from 12.5 to 13.5. But the line for France didn't move and in fact the odds increased a bit from 1.70 to 1.82. It's true that Spain is usually the team that fouls more as due to their possession style they resort to fouls to prevent dangerous counter-attacks when losing the ball. But Belgium and Austria still managed to cover this line against them - 18, 15 and 14 respectively. France covered only against Sweden - 14, but also had 11 vs Norway, 11 vs Paraguay and 10 vs Morocco. Both teams played a Nations League game that ended with 14:17 fouls last year. Barton averages 29.8 fouls in his last 6 games and the World Cup so far is with 29, 31 and 28. 1.82Загубена-1.00
2026-07-14Champions LeagueЛевски София vs Borac Banja Luka15:14 fouls in the 1st leg. Now Andy Madley refereeing - despite being an English referee he's 9th in the Premier League for the last 5 season averaging 22.8 fouls per game in 41 games. Levski was averaging 11.53 fouls per game last season and can be quite aggressive at home, especially in high stakes games like this. Levski should take some risks and be aggressive at least in the 1st half or until they take the lead as otherwise they are risking this game going to extra time.1.85Спечелена+0.85
2026-07-12World CupАржентина vs ШвейцарияArgentina games are 18/20 under this line, even the game with Egypt where they came back from 2 goals behind had exactly 24 (19:5) shots, all their other games at the World Cup were under as well. Switzerland is 14/20 under this line and their only game that went over at the World Cup was the one with Qatar. If we look at the 22.5 line the numbers are the same. Argentina prefers to patiently wait for "the kill" - the single great pass that cuts the defence and puts (usually Messi) in a scoring position. I don't think we should expect anything different from Switzerland than what we saw against Colombia1.72Спечелена+0.72
2026-07-11World CupНорвегия vs АнглияNorway allowed 10+ shots in each of their World Cup games so far - 11 vs Iraq, 16 vs Senegal, 18 vs France (Norway fielding a reserve team), 14 vs Ivory Coast, 14 vs Brazil. Even though Shots on Target usually stayed in the 4-5 range their opponents xG was >= 1.5 in all these games which doesn't really imply that Norway are shutting down these teams. Kane is 10/17 with 2+ SoT when playing at least 45 minutes for England. After going through a very difficult test at Azteca England's confidence should be high. Similarly to Spain I believe England will feel better against European opponents. 2.2Загубена-1.00
2026-07-10World CupИспания vs БелгияYamal is 9/16 covering this line for Spain when playing at least 45 minutes. Against Portugal he was mostly shut down by Nuno Mendes who's one of the best left backs in the World - still he managed to get 1 SoT while Mendes was still playing and 1 after Mendes got injured. 4 against Austria. I think European opponents are easier for Spain and apart from the last game vs the USA Belgium's performance was far from good. I just don't think Belgium has the type of players to stop Spain. 2.12Спечелена+1.12
2026-07-09World CupФранция vs МарокоFrance opponents are 15/20 under 9.5 - Norway had 10 in the last game of the group stage where they fielded reserve players and didn't care much, the other 4 cases are Nations League games vs Spain, Germany, Italy and Belgium and we all know that these games are basically friendlies. Morocco will be without their striker Saibari. They had just 5 shots vs Canada and had to withstand heavy pressure during the 1st half. 10 shots vs the Netherlands in a game they were trailing for the last 20 minutes. They had 10+ in all 3 group stage games but none of the opponents there was close the France's strength. 1.75Спечелена+0.75
2026-07-09Europa LeagueЦСКА София vs Дери СитиThe odds are implying that Derry has a > 50% chance of scoring in this one which I don't think is the case. 0:0 and a 1:0 loss will be good scores for them as they will leave them chances for the 2nd leg so I don't see them taking any risks unless the score goes to something like 3:0 quickly which I don't think is very likely. Derry is not having a great season in Ireland - 6th out of 10 teams having scored 32 goals in 25 games. 2.02Загубена-1.00
2026-07-07World CupШвейцария vs Колумбия1.72 at Bet365 - the line/odds haven't moved in both places since yesterday and I'm taking the Betano ones. Switzerland's opponents have covered this line only in 3/20 but Colombia is really crushing it when it comes to shots at this World Cup - covered this line in all 4 and had 20+ in the last 3. The interesting part is that they produce shots even when the games are going in a positive direction for them like the last 2 vs Portugal and Ghana. Against a good, experienced team like Switzerland we can also see Colombia falling behind and having to push to equalise. 1.93Загубена-1.00
2026-07-07World CupШвейцария vs КолумбияBetano has this at 25.5 at 1.80 so I think this 24.5 is worth taking. Main reason - Ivan Barton was announced as the referee today. He averages ~30 fouls per game in his last 5 international games and has covered in 4/5. He refereed Turkey - Paraguay and Japan - Sweden at the World Cup and Iraq - Bolivia at the Intercontinental Playoffs. 29 fouls on Turkey - Paraguay was his lowest. Both teams are 8/20 and 10/20 over this line respectively but they have proven they can produce a bigger number of fouls in high stakes games.Both are 2/4 at the World Cup so far. 1.83Спечелена+0.83
2026-07-07Champions LeagueBorac Banja Luka vs Левски СофияMehmed Turkmen refereeing - he's one of the referees with the lowest card numbers in the Turkish league over the last 5 season (29th out of 31 referees) - averages 3.45 card points per game and is 18/20 under 5.5 in the last 20. His average time of 1st card is around the 44th minute. His Foul/Card ratio is 7.8 and if we look at the 1st half it's even higher at 13.6 and he averages 0.9 cards in the 1st half. This being the 1st leg of a 2 leg elimination and the 1st official game for both teams I don't expect them to be very aggressive from the first minutes. 1.82Загубена-1.00
2026-07-07World CupАржентина vs Египет1.66 at Bet365, 1.72 at Betano, so clearly better odds at EGT-based bookies. Salah is 7/10 covering this line in his last 10 games for Egypt. At the World Cup so far - 3 vs Belgium, 1 vs New Zealand, 2 vs Iran, 3 vs Australia. It's quite likely that Argentina will try to foul him early in Egypt's own field to avoid dangerous counter attacks. Argentina fouls at the World Cup so far - 13 vs Algeria, 13 vs Austria, 7 vs Jordan, 12 vs Cape Verde - so in harder games they've reached 12-13 fouls. Letexier is refereeing - not great for fouls but at his 2 games at the World Cup so far he had 23 and 26 fouls 1.9Спечелена+0.90
2026-07-07World CupСАЩ vs БелгияBelgium were outplayed by Senegal and they are only here because of a late goalkeeper mistake and some luck. Still, this line feels low, as even if Belgium is that bad again and falls behind such a negative script leads to more shots for them when they try to equalise. Belgium is 17/20 covering this line and has covered in the last 13 games. USA will be without Balogun which is a huge loss and this will be the hardest test for them so far (the game with Turkey had no meaning for both teams). 1.72Спечелена+0.72
2026-07-06World CupПортугалия vs ИспанияSpain averages 680 passes per game in their last 20 games and they've had 600+ passes in their last 12 games. The last time they went below this line was the away win vs Turkey. Spain faced Portugal in the UEFA Nations League final last June where they had 612 passes in regular time. At the same time Portugal allowed 544 passes to Colombia in the last group game. 1.87Загубена-1.00
2026-07-06World CupМексико vs АнглияEngland could have been eliminated by DR Congo on another day as their overall display in the first half was very poor. But a game script where they fall behind is really good for this bet. England struggled vs defensive teams like Ghana and Panama but we won't see the same approach from Mexico and even in those games England produced close to 20 shots. Let's also not forget what England showed vs Croatia. England is 16/20 covering such a low line, Mexico's opponents are only 3/13 over but in most cases it's CONCACAF teams that are nowhere near England. 1.83Загубена-1.00
2026-07-05World CupБразилия vs НорвегияIf you've followed my previous picks you know that I don't rate this Brazilian team very high. Haaland is 13/15 covering this line for Norway, of course against easier opposition, but Brazil is not shutting teams down these days (they allowed 14 total shots vs both Morocco and Scotland)2.32Спечелена+1.32
2026-07-04World CupПарагвай vs ФранцияSame odds at EGT and Altenar based bookies. Paraguay went under this line in 6 of their last 7 games and is 8/20 under in the longer term. The only game where they covered at the World Cup was with 9 shots vs the USA. Against Germany they had 7 shots but 2 of them were literally in the 1st attack of the game. At the same time France conceded 8 shots to Sweden and the last one was literally the last action of the game. France's opponents are 7/9 under this line, 10/20 in the long term. Paraguay will use the same approach they had vs Germany so it's hard to see them covering here unless France decides everything really early and decides to save energy for the 1/4 final1.72Спечелена+0.72
2026-07-04World CupКанада vs МарокоCanada games are 9/14 under this line including all their World Cup games except the one vs Qatar where Canada on its own had 32 shots but obvious reason there - Qatar being a weak team playing with 9 men. Morocco games are 12/20 under 22.5 - the games with Brazil and Haiti went over but vs Scotland and Netherlands stayed well under and the game vs Canada should be more like the latter 2. 2 of the most likely game scripts - Morocco leading and controlling the game or the game going as a draw towards extra time are both good for the under.1.98Спечелена+0.98
2026-07-04World CupКолумбия vs ГанаIt's not as good as the 2.00 odds we hit against Uzbekistan but I regret not betting similar odds against DR Congo and then 2.50+ vs Portugal as Sanchez managed to get 1 shot in each of the 3 games. Against a defensive Ghana set pieces should be one of the options for Colombia. Sanchez is 7/15 covering this line. 1.83Спечелена+0.83
2026-07-04World CupКолумбия vs ГанаMunoz is 7/13 covering this for Colombia when playing at least 45 minutes - 1 vs Uzbekistan, 2 vs DR Congo, only 9 minutes vs Portugal. 1.44 at Bet365. When playing for Crystal Palace he's 10/20. With Luiz Diaz on the left side Munoz has a good chance of being on the receiving end of some of the crosses/passes that come from the left. Very strong game for him against DR Congo - hit the post in the 4th minute, then had a goal disallowed for a narrow offside a minute later and ultimately scored the winning goal. 1.72Загубена-1.00
2026-07-04World CupКолумбия vs ГанаPuerta got fouled 4 times against DR Congo, 0 in the other 2 games. While playing at Racing in LaLiga 2 last season he was averaging 2.0 fouls won per game. In an elimination game like this I expect Ghana again to commit 10+ fouls. Turpin is refereeing, which is not ideal, but if Ghana employs the same style like vs England it wouldn't matter. 1.88Спечелена+0.88
2026-07-04World CupКолумбия vs Гана1.18 at Bet365, so we are getting almost the same odds as Over 2.5 at Bet365. Puerta has 10 shots so far - 1 vs Uzbekistan, 5 vs DR Congo, 4 vs Portugal, all 10 of them are outside the box. Against Ghana that will try to defend and limit spaces for Colombia shooting from distance should be a good option. 1.53Спечелена+0.53
2026-07-03World CupАржентина vs Кабо ВердеWas 2.25, just missed it for a few minutes. It's 1.83 at Bet365, yes, including Extra Time there, but I don't think the chances of this one going to ET are that high so definitely some value on these 2+ odds. Great performance from Messi so far - 4 SoT against each of Austria and Algeria, 1 for 30 minutes against Jordan. He's 6/16 covering this line when playing at least 45 minutes for Argentina but in most cases the opposition was superior to Cape Verde. Being the free kick and penalty taker he should have some opportunities in this game2Спечелена+1.00
2026-07-03World CupШвейцария vs АлжирThe line is 23.5 at Betano which looks more realistic so clearly an off-market line by Winbet (and other EGT-based bookies). Switzerland has covered this line in all 3 of their World Cup games and are 14/20 in general. Algeria didn't cover in any (21 total vs Argentina was close and the game with Austria was special as while the score was a draw there were long periods with nothing happening) but they are 14/19 in general. Yael Falcon refereeing - he's 4/5 covering this line (1/2 at the World Cup - didn't cover at Tunisia - Sweden that was decided very early). 1.85Спечелена+0.85
2026-07-03World CupШвейцария vs Алжир2.10 at Bet365. Xhaka is 7/14 covering this line for Switzerland, he's also the team's penalty taker, can take free kicks as well, depending on the situation. 2 shots for Xhaka vs Qatar and Bosnia, 1 vs Canada. He's 9/14 having a shot outside the box - 1 vs Canada and Bosnia, 2 vs Qatar. Algeria allows 5.0 shots outside the box on average and in an elimination games like this where team leave less space they could attempt more long distance shots. 2.15Загубена-1.00
2026-07-02World CupПортугалия vs ХърватияOdds are around 1.65-1.72 elsewhere. Mendes is 11/19 covering this line when playing more than 45 minutes for Portugal, covered in all 3 World Cup games so far. Espen Eskas refereeing - 23.2 fouls on average in his last 10 national team games, so a rather neutral referee in terms of fouls1.95Спечелена+0.95
2026-07-02World CupСАЩ vs Босна и ХерцеговинаIt's the 1st time I'm touching a cards bet at this World Cup and it could very well be the last one (weird refereeing as at most World Cups). But Bosnia is 15/20 covering this line, facing one of the host nations which also happens to be a favourite in this game. Foul lines are expectedly very high for Bosnia and I already have a bet on US central defenders suffering a foul but I think there's still value on this cards bet. Even at the World Cup Bosnia manages to cover cards - 3 vs Canada, 4 vs Switzerland, 1 vs Qatar (but Bosnia was the favourite in that game). Claus from Brazil is refereeing - away teams are 5/9 covering this line with him1.7Загубена-1.00
2026-07-02World CupСАЩ vs Босна и ХерцеговинаI've already had a few picks explaining how Bosnia frequently fouls opponents central defenders. This is a tendency in high stakes games for them - vs Wales, Italy and now at the World Cup vs Canada 5 total fouls (4 + 1), vs Switzerland 3 total (2 + 1), vs Qatar 1 (only 1 of the defenders was fouled). Chris Richards was fouled once against Australia and Paraguay and didn't play against Turkey. 1.83Спечелена+0.83
2026-07-02World CupСАЩ vs Босна и ХерцеговинаI've already had a few picks explaining how Bosnia frequently fouls opponents central defenders. This is a tendency in high stakes games for them - vs Wales, Italy and now at the World Cup vs Canada 5 total fouls (4 + 1), vs Switzerland 3 total (2 + 1), vs Qatar 1 (only 1 of the defenders was fouled). Tim Ream was fouled once against Australia, wasn't fouled against Paraguay and didn't play against Turkey. 1.83Спечелена+0.83
2026-07-01World CupБелгия vs СенегалSimilar odds at Betano and elsewhere. Belgium have covered 13.5 in all of their last 12 games and are 14/20 over this line in general. In fact they have even covered 14.5 in their last 12. Senegal opponents have managed to cover this only in 1/20 but it's worth mentioning that apart from the World Cup games it's only African teams. Norway managed 13 shots against Senegal in a game they were ahead since the start of the 2nd half. France had only 6 shots in the 1st game but they were trying to win that one with minimal effort. I expect Senegal to have a defence + counter-attack approach where taking the game to Extra Time or even Penalties won't be bad for them. Belgium should attack from the first minutes as time works in Senegal's favour in this game. We've seen they had issues converting their chances against Egypt and Iran and if they don't score early in this one they should cover this low line1.9Спечелена+0.90
2026-07-01World CupАнглия vs ДР КонгоEngland's opponents are 9/12 under this line including teams like Serbia (twice), Ireland (twice) and Albania which are not worse than DR Congo. DR Congo is only 5/20 under but if we look at their last 5: 2 vs Algeria, 2 vs Jamaica, 2 vs Portugal, 1 vs Columbia, 4 vs Uzbekistan (all 4 coming after the 58th minute). Like most African teams they are low tempo, low shot volume. England struggled against Ghana and Panama and DR Congo should try using the same defensive approach. If they are successful at keeping the score 0:0 for most of the game it's quite likely that they won't take much risks when organising attacks, minimising their chances to get shots on target. 2.2Загубена-1.00
2026-07-01World CupМексико vs ЕквадорEcuador is 13/20 covering 12.5, Mexico's opponents are just 1/12 but it's worth noting that Mexico practically haven't played any official games at home apart from the 3 World Cup games in the last 2+ years - before that they played Copa America and Gold Cup on neutral venue. It's also worth noting that Mexico opponents are 7/12 over 10.5 so they rarely stay in the single digits range. A true home game for Mexico at the World Cup elimination stage against a South American team + Slavko Vincic refereeing - 24.1 fouls on average for him in national team games and the away/neutral venue team has covered this line in 11/171.93Спечелена+0.93
2026-06-30World CupФранция vs Швеция1.70 at Betano. Olise is 6/12 covering this line when playing more than 45 minutes for France. Sweden is a physical team and the Ayari + Bergvall pair in midfield should produce fouls against Olise. Makkelie is far from an ideal referee for fouls but Sweden’s style is the main factor here.1.72Загубена-1.00
2026-06-30World CupФранция vs ШвецияAyari is 7/15 covering this line for Sweden. 2 against Tunisia, 5 against the Netherlands, 0 vs Japan. When Sweden fell behind very early against the Netherlands he started shooting a lot, accumulating these 5 shots. A similar thing might happen if Sweden is behind here - long distance shots will be one of their options against the superior French team2.92Загубена-1.00
2026-06-30World CupНидерландия vs МарокоEl Aynaoui is 6/12 covering this line when playing for Morocco. At the World Cup - 4 against Brazil, 2 against Scotland, 0 vs Haiti. This looks like one of the derbies of the 1/16 finals where Morocco can cause problems for Netherlands so their foul numbers shouldn't stay low. Sampaio is refereeing - not great, not terrible. 1.85Спечелена+0.85
2026-06-29World CupГермания vs ПарагвайGermany's opponents are 13/20 under this line and their opponents haven't covered in the last 5 games (including the 3 World Cup games). Paraguay hasn't covered the 9.5 line in their last 6, including the 3 World Cup games. In general they are 10/20 covering this line. I expect Paraguay to defend trying to get the game to Extra Time and Penalties. Unless Germany decides the game very early Paraguay should stay under. 1.7Спечелена+0.70
2026-06-29World CupГермания vs ПарагвайParaguay covered this line in both group games that mattered - 15 vs Turkey and 17 vs USA. In general they are 11/20 covering this line and have consistently covered it against the stronger South American teams - Brazil, Argentina, Colombia, Uruguay. Jalal Jayed is refereeing - it's his 3rd game this tournament - the previous 2 ended with 29 fouls - Germany vs Curacao and Portugal vs Uzbekistan. Overall he's 10/13 covering a high line like 26.52.05Загубена-1.00
2026-06-29World CupБразилия vs ЯпонияBetano are once again giving higher odds for the Brazilian players including Vinicius - he's at 1.30 at Bet365. Vinicius is 9/14 covering this line. I didn't take similar odds against Scotland as I expected the game to have less fouls and I wasn't certain about Vinicius playing time. At the end he played 90 minutes, the game didn't have that many fouls, but Vinicius suffered 3 - Scotland had 3 fouls in the 1st half, 2 against him. Japan started with 7 fouls against the Netherlands but then 15 against Tunisia and 20 against Sweden. No referee announced yet. 1.87Спечелена+0.87
2026-06-28World CupЮжна Африка vs КанадаMudau is 13/20 covering this line. At the World Cup he had 3 against Mexico, 1 against the Czech Republic and 2 vs South Korea. Canada is having some problems in center midfield - Kone suffered a broken leg against Qatar and their captain Eustaqio is doubtful. The game will be played in California so less of a home field advantage for Canada. Joao Pinheiro is refereeing - he can easily go in the 30s in the Portuguese league but in international games his numbers are lower.1.82Спечелена+0.82
2026-06-27World CupКолумбия vs Португалия1.57 at Bet365 and 1.67 at EGT-based bookies. Mendes suffered 4 fouls against Uzbekistan and 3 against DR Congo and is 10/20 covering this line for Portugal - he has suffered 15 fouls in the last 5 official games for Portugal. Against him on the right side Colombia will have Daniel Munoz - he is 8/14 committing over 1.5 fouls when playing for Colombia. The runner-up in this group will face Croatia or Ghana so not the worst case so probably the game won't be life and death but given the matchup Mendes is worth taking at these odds. 1.75Спечелена+0.75
2026-06-27World CupДР Конго vs УзбекистанJust missed 1.82 but it's still 1.78 at Altenar bookies. Uzbekistan had 14 fouls against Colombia and 15 against Portugal in a game that was over in the 1st half. Uzbekistan's chances are not realistic as they need to win with 4-5 goals at least in order to overcome their goal difference. DR Congo needs to win in order to be among the top 3rd placed teams. Zwayer is refereeing, not a good referee for fouls but Uzbeks style in the first too games produced enough fouls and Zwayer himself refereed USA - Australia with 12:16 fouls1.72Спечелена+0.72
2026-06-27World CupХърватия vs ГанаI expect a tactical game from Croatia. They won't risk too much as a draw will qualify them as a 3rd placed team, so they'll wait for opportunities if they come. We saw what Ghana is capable for against England - they have only 10 shots in total in 2 games so far and in general are 14/18 under this line. Croatia is also coming from a game against Panama where they had only 6 shots but they also allowed only 8. 1.8Спечелена+0.80
2026-06-27World CupПанама vs Англия1.57 at Bet365 and elsewhere. We are not getting again 1.80 but Panama doesn't have a defence as solid as Ghana's. Even against Ghana Kane had a clear scoring opportunity in the 86th minute which should have been his 2nd shot on target on that day.1.67Спечелена+0.67
2026-06-27World CupЕгипет vs ИранA draw will work well for both teams - it gives Iran a good chance to qualify as a 3rd team with 3 points and 0 goal difference and Egypt can still keep the 1st place if Belgium doesn't win with 2-3 goals against New Zealand. 1.95Загубена-1.00
2026-06-27World CupКабо Верде vs Саудитска АрабияThe line is 23.5 at Bet365. Cape Verde can qualify as a 3rd placed team with a draw as they will have 0 goal difference. So I don't think they will risk too much in this game. Saudi Arabia needs to win but I don't think they will take risks early on. Also they are not a powerhouse when it comes to shooting. If we exclude the last 2 games where they played against superior opponents like Spain and Uruguay Cape Verde is 16/18 under this line, Saudi Arabia is 12/18 under1.82Спечелена+0.82
2026-06-26World CupСенегал vs ИракOdds are at 1.40 at Bet365 and elsewhere. He didn't have a shot in his last 6 games for Senegal but these games were at the World Cup and the African Cup of Nations. Before that he was 7/14 having at least 1 shot. Against Iraq where Senegal will need to attack in order to win with 2-3 goals this odds difference is worth taking. 1.8Пуш+0.00
2026-06-26World CupСенегал vs ИракSenegal needs to win this with at least 2-3 goals in order to have chances to be among the Top 8 3rd placed teams. It's quite likely that there will be 6 3rd teams with 4 points so only 2 with 3 points will go through and at least 2 of them are already in position to have a 0 goal difference. So Senegal needs to shoot and attack. Senegal had 16 shots against Norway, 10 of them in the 2nd half. If we exclude their games at the Africa Cup of Nations and the World Cup they are 9/13 covering. 2Спечелена+1.00
2026-06-26World CupПарагвай vs АвстралияSame at other Altenar-based bookies. The line is 20.5 elsewhere. Both teams are already qualified and the only thing left to play for is 2nd/3rd place. No wonder odds for Draw have been smashed since the situation became clear. So this should be a calm, slow game, where both teams try to save energy for their 1/16 final games. Even if we ignore all of this Australia games are 17/20 under this line, Paraguay is 11/20 under1.72Спечелена+0.72
2026-06-25World CupТунис vs НидерландияNetherlands is 15/20 under this line, Tunisia got trashed and eliminated in the first 2 games but neither Sweden nor Japan surpassed even 13 shots. Of course in Africa no one could get even close to 18 so they are 20/20 under. With a game against Morocco (or in the worst case Brazil) looming for Netherlands on the 1/16 final I don't see them wasting too much energy against Tunisia. It's had to imagine that Netherlands will lose the 1st place (Japan needs to win against Sweden by a goal more than the Netherlands win against Tunisia). 1.98Загубена-1.00
2026-06-25World CupКюрасао vs Кот д'ИвоарThe line just dropped from 7.5 at 1.83 to 6.5 at 1.72. Curacao covered even 7.5 against Germany (8) and Ecuador (10) so it's a bit strange the market doesn't believe that they can make 7 against Ivory Coast. Ivory coast needs just a draw to guarantee the 2nd place and a win won't help them get the 1st as Germany has secured it. Curacao still has hopes to get even the 2nd place if they win. Even if Curacao falls behind like 0:2 and game looks out of hand this is most likely the last World Cup game ever for these players so they will try to make their mark. 1.72Спечелена+0.72
2026-06-25World CupЧехия vs Мексико1.72 at Bet365, 1.75 at Altenar, this time I'm not waiting for Betano to post their odds - they opened at 1.90 vs South Korea, then 1.82 vs South Africa, in both games he had 3 fouls, so I doubt they'll post much higher than 1.7-1.75. Krejci continues his crazy streak - he has covered 1.5 fouls committed in 13/14 of his last games for the Czech Republic. So a 3rd bet in a row on Krejci1.75Загубена-1.00
2026-06-25World CupЧехия vs МексикоThe Czech's have covered 4.5 Corners in 14/15 of their last games and the one they didn't cover was with 4 corners against Denmark. Winning is the only option for the Czech's after they decided to play it safe against South Africa after the early goal and at the end got what usually happens in such cases. Mexico have secured the 1st place and we should definitely see some rotations in their squad. Yes, they are a host nation and won't just give the game to the Czech's but the 1/16 final will definitely be on their minds. 2.1Спечелена+1.10
2026-06-24World CupШотландия vs БразилияBrazil needs to win against Scotland and trust that Morocco won't win against Haiti by 4+. This will secure the 1st place so they avoid the Netherlands. At the same time Scotland might go through even with a minimal loss against Brazil (if their goal difference gets to -1 they might be among the best 3rd placed teams). Brazil is 14/20 under this line and have covered only twice away from home - at Copa America against Paraguay and Costa Rica. Scotland's opponents are 11/20 under this line. 1.93Загубена-1.00
2026-06-24World CupМароко vs ХаитиThe line is 25.5 at Bet365 at the same odds. Morocco's games are 18/20 under this line, Haiti is 7/15 but if we exclude the games against Aruba, Barbados and Saint Lucia it's 7/12. There are 2 options here - 1. Morocco tries to be economic here in order to save energy for the 1/16 final (most likely against the Netherlands) knowing that it's very hard to outscore Brazil and that it's very unlikely that Scotland wins against Brazil. 2. Morocco invests energy and effort in order to trash Haiti hoping their goal difference will be better than Brazil's in order to face Japan (most likely) instead of the Netherlands. I believe that saving energy is the more likely option1.83Загубена-1.00
2026-06-24World CupБосна и Херцеговина vs КатарAccording to all sources Laye will start as a central defender and Pedro Miguel will be on the right. I've mentioned in my previous pick that Bosnia fouls opponents central defenders a lot (in a streak of 4 games fouling both) but unlike the previous games we got lower odds for Khoukhi and Miguel this time. But Laye starting at this position was unexpected so I'm taking this 1.75 for Over. 1.51.75Спечелена+0.75
2026-06-24World CupШвейцария vs Канада1.88 at Altenar-based bookies. Switzerland games are 14/20 under this line, Canada is 7/12 under. Technically this is a game to decide 1st/2nd place but I don't think both teams will try to win the 1st place at all costs. The 2nd in this group faces the 2nd in group A which will most likely be South Korea which might not be much worse than some of the 3rd placed teams. So it should be a calm game where both teams try to save energy. After trashing Qatar 6:0 it's not very likely that Bosnia can overtake Canada for the 2nd place based on goal difference (as the direct game ended 1:1)1.83Спечелена+0.83
2026-06-24World CupБосна и Херцеговина vs КатарThe total line opened at 23.5 but it lasted just seconds and went to 25.5. Bosnia went from 12.5 to 13.5 but it's still worth taking. Bosnia has covered 13.5 in 15/20 and it easily covers in games like this where they are favourites - covered twice against both San Marino and Cyprus. 1.72Загубена-1.00
2026-06-24World CupКолумбия vs ДР КонгоThe line went up from 14.5 and I don't see a valid reason why. Colombia has stayed under 15.5 in 15/20 and away from home has covered only against Bolivia and Peru (exactly 16) and on neutral ground on Copa America against Costa Rica (again 16). In Africa the tempo and shot volumes are lower so expectedly DR Congo opponents are 19/20 under. Even if Colombia wins they have the last game against Portugal so they can't guarantee the 1st place. A tactical draw will also be good for DR Congo - if they win against Uzbekistan they'll end up with 5 points and even a draw with Uzbekistan can be good enough as 3 points might be enough to be amongst the Top 8 3rd placed teams. 1.8Загубена-1.00
2026-06-24World CupКолумбия vs ДР КонгоThe line his high but Jalal Jayed is refereeing here - he's 9/10 covering this line, which includes the 29 fouls Germany - Curacao game. Colombia is 10/20 over, DR Congo is 10/19. Positive start for both teams - Colombia is coming from a 25 foul game against Uzbekistan, DR Congo in 19 foul game against Portugal but this low number is expected against such possession oriented teams1.75Спечелена+0.75
2026-06-23World CupПанама vs ХърватияCordoba is 9/11 with at least 1 foul in games for Panama where he played at least 45 minutes. Had 1 foul against Ghana. Odds are lower at other places. 1.5Спечелена+0.50
2026-06-23World CupПанама vs ХърватияHarvey is 6/11 in games for Panama where he played at least 45 minutes. Had 5 fouls against Ghana. Odds are lower at other places.1.67Загубена-1.00
2026-06-23World CupАнглия vs ГанаVery strong performance from England against Croatia. A win against Ghana will secure the 1st place for them which would mean they can rest players in the last game against Panama. Kane is 9/17 covering this line against European teams most of them not worse than Ghana. He's also the penalty taker for England. 1.8Загубена-1.00
2026-06-23World CupПортугалия vs УзбекистанFor a 2nd consecutive game we are getting odds > 2 on Bruno with a pretty big difference from Bet365 (1.83 there). In terms of total fouls suffered he's 2nd only after Ronaldo - 22 fouls suffered for Bruno and fouled every 79 minutes. He was fouled twice against DR Congo and Uzbekistan had a 14 foul game against Colombia - fouling Diaz 5 times and Lerma twice. Jalal Jayed is refereeing (I made a mistake in my Colombia - DR Congo pick - Marianni is actually refereeing there) - so this game is getting a referee who's 9/12 over 26.5. 2.70 at 8888.bg (for those in Bulgaria)2.57Загубена-1.00
2026-06-23World CupПортугалия vs УзбекистанWe are seeing the same line Uzbekistan got against Colombia now against Portugal. Portugal is a team that can control the ball in larger periods of the game than Colombia, especially now with their scoring problems and Ronaldo being totally isolated on the pitch. Against DR Congo they were able to get an early goal but if they can't do the same against Uzbekistan it should mean long periods of possession and very few shots for the Uzbeks. Against Colombia my bet on over 7.5 Uzbekistan shots won with 5 shots after the 88th minute and 2 in 90+11. Odds are 1.66 at Bet3651.91Спечелена+0.91
2026-06-23World CupЙордания vs Алжир1.91 at EGT-powered bookies. Algeria is 16/19 over this line, Jordan is just 6/20. Algeria with just 8 fouls against Argentina after conceding an early goal in that game but against Jordan I believe we should see more aggression from them, they need to win in order to keep their hopes for advancing alive. So we should see higher foul numbers from them, comparable to their games against African opponents where they are the favourite. But I prefer the total line here instead of Algeria Over 10.5 at 1.83. Slavko Vincic getting this game is also a big reason for picking over. He's 8/16 over this line in national team games and in general is a referee who gives fouls quite easily.1.93Загубена-1.00
2026-06-22World CupФранция vs ИракFrance games are 15/20 under this line, Iraq is 18/20 under. Iraq had a 11:12 shots game against Norway and in terms of shots Norway has firepower that's not worse than the French one. We saw the pragmatic approach that France used against Senegal and I don't expect them to suddenly start playing at 100% and trash Iraq. They'll probably again rely on patience, surgical passes and clinical finishing1.83Спечелена+0.83
2026-06-22World CupАржентина vs АвстрияAnother attempt with Mac Allister - odds are again higher at Betano - 1.66 at Bet365, 1.70 at EGT-based bookies. Algeria committed its first foul in the game against him but it was way too late in the 34th minute and they had just 8 fouls in total. Mac Allister is now 4/8 over 1.5 fouls won in national team games. Playing in central midfield allows him to get more contact with the opponents and Austria is a team that averages around 13 fouls per game. Amin Mohammed Omar from Egypt is refereeing with an average around 22.9 fouls (refereed South Korea - Czech Republic - 9:16).1.98Загубена-1.00
2026-06-21World CupБелгия vs ИранThe line is 1 unit lower than Betano. Belgium is 9/20, Egypt is 10/19 over 20.5, the referee Herrera is 7/8 in the South American quals and Copa America. Belgium is coming from a 30 foul (15:15) game against Egypt1.72Загубена-1.00
2026-06-21World CupИспания vs Саудитска АрабияIf we ignore the easier games that Saudi Arabia played in Asia we will see things like 4 shots away at Australia, 1 shot away at Japan, during the Gold Cup last year 1 shot vs Mexico, 3 shots vs USA. Against Uruguay they had 5 shots in the 1st half but then in the 2nd when they were protecting a lead the shots were 22:2. Spain might have their struggles now but they can still control the ball for 80% of the time. Odds around 1.6-1.7 in other places1.91Спечелена+0.91
2026-06-21World CupТунис vs ЯпонияI've been considering Tunisia Over 11.5 Fouls at 1.88 for a few days since Istvan Kovacs is a great referee for fouls and Tunisia came to tournament as the team with the most fouls of all 48. But Tunisia committing only 8 against Sweden and Japan being a team that doesn't suffer a lot of fouls didn't convince me to go ahead. But Yan Valeri being 7/8 Over 1.5 Fouls Committed in the last 8 game he played for Tunisia is quite convincing, including having 3 fouls against Sweden in 72 minutes2.07Загубена-1.00
2026-06-21World CupТунис vs ЯпонияThe line is 22.5 at Bet365 and Altenar-powered bookies. Tunisia is 13/20 under this line and Japan is 18/20. Some of Japan's games were against weaker opponents in Asia but some of the Asian teams they faced are not worse than Tunisia. The coach change for Tunisia can't change things magically in a few days. 1.75Спечелена+0.75
2026-06-21World CupЕквадор vs КюрасаоSmall stakes. Joel Ordonez had 2 shots against Ivory Coast and even though he has only 1 other shot in the prior 8 games he started, he's scored 3 goals this season for his club team Brugge in the Belgian league and 1 more in the Champions League. Against Germany it was visible that Curacao has problems against taller defenders during set pieces - Schlotterbeck had 2 shots on target and 1 goal. Both Ordonez and Pacho are taller than Curacao's defenders. Ecuador not only needs to win this one but they need to score a few goals to improve their goal difference, in case they end up being 3rd with 3 points9Пуш+0.00
2026-06-21World CupЕквадор vs КюрасаоHalf stakes. Joel Ordonez had 2 shots against Ivory Coast and even though he has only 1 other shot in the prior 8 games he started, he's scored 3 goals this season for his club team Brugge in the Belgian league and 1 more in the Champions League. Against Germany it was visible that Curacao has problems against taller defenders during set pieces - Schlotterbeck had 2 shots on target and 1 goal. Both Ordonez and Pacho are taller than Curacao's defenders. Ecuador not only needs to win this one but they need to score a few goals to improve their goal difference, in case they end up being 3rd with 3 points 3.7Пуш+0.00
2026-06-21World CupЕквадор vs КюрасаоJoel Ordonez had 2 shots against Ivory Coast and even though he has only 1 other shot in the prior 8 games he started, he's scored 3 goals this season for his club team Brugge in the Belgian league and 1 more in the Champions League. Against Germany it was visible that Curacao has problems against taller defenders during set pieces - Schlotterbeck had 2 shots on target and 1 goal. Both Ordonez and Pacho are taller than Curacao's defenders. Ecuador not only needs to win this one but they need to score a few goals to improve their goal difference, in case they end up being 3rd with 3 points 1.65Пуш+0.00
2026-06-20World CupТурция vs ПарагвайOdds are around 1.5-1.6 elsewhere. Most reports are saying that Yildiz is fit to start from the 1st minute after playing only the 2nd half against Australia as he was preserved due to a calf injury. Yildiz is 6/12 Over 1.5 Fouls Won and 9/12 Over 0.5 Fouls Won in the last national team games where he started. Paraguay is a team that has committed 13.9 fouls on average in the last 20 games. 2.05Спечелена+1.05
2026-06-20World CupТурция vs Парагвай22.5 at 1.93 at Betano is also playable. Maybe I'm stubborn but I'm once again going with an over on a Turkey's game. What we saw against Australia - 4 fouls for Turkey in a 4:12 game was a consequence of Turkey failing to break Australia's defence and falling behind early on. Paraguay had a bad game against USA and if they produce the same performance Turkey will be able to break them earlier in the game. This will mean that the Turks will reduce the pressure, Paraguay will try to attack more and we should see more fouls in midfield. More or less what we saw in Paraguay's game vs USA where we saw 30 fouls (17 for Paraguay). Ivan Barton from Salvador is refereeing - sparse data for him on the national team's stage but the data still shows that he's averaging 30+ fouls per game1.75Спечелена+0.75
2026-06-20World CupБразилия vs ХаитиVinicius is 7/11 over this line, against Morocco he was fouled for the 2nd time in 90+1 but earlier in the 54th minute there was another situation where he was actually fouled but Slavko Vincic let the play continue as the ball reached another Brazilian player. Haiti is averaging 14.7 fouls and they are coming from a 44-foul game against Scotland where they contributed with 23 fouls. Carlens Arcus should be playing on the right side of defence against Vinicius - Arcus had 3 fouls against Scotland1.9Загубена-1.00
2026-06-19World CupШотландия vs Мароко1.80 at Altenar bookies. El Aynaoui had 4 fouls against Brazil and has covered this line in 5/10 for Morocco which means that he regularly gets 2 fouls even against weaker African opposition. Scottish direct style of play should result in more fouls. 1.78Спечелена+0.78
2026-06-19World CupШотландия vs МарокоOdds are 2.00 or lower at other places. Hakimi will face the most fouled Scottish player - John McGinn and Andy Robertson should also be a threat for him. Obviously Hakimi is a world class player but he covered this line in the last 3 games for Morocco which also happened to be against opponents stronger than the average African team - Brazil (3), Nigeria (3), Cameroon (2). 2.25Загубена-1.00
2026-06-19World CupШотландия vs МарокоScotland is 10/20 over this line and they are coming from a 44-foul game against Haiti where the Scots committed 21 fouls. Morocco is 15/20 over 25.5 and they are coming from a 30-foul game against Brazil. Tantashev from Uzbekistan is refereeing - he's just 2/8 over the line in national team games but he's mostly refereed low intensity games between Asian teams. 1.8Загубена-1.00
2026-06-19World CupМексико vs Южна КореяAlso available at other Alternar-powered bookies. Odds dropped to 1.72 at Bet365 and 1.75 at Betano. This line underestimates the attacking power of South Korea. They had 15 shots against the Czechs and have covered the line in 16/20 (of course this includes games against easier opposition in Asia. Even against South Africa there were visible cracks in Mexico's defense which South Korea's fast players could exploit1.92Загубена-1.00
2026-06-18World CupШвейцария vs Босна и ХерцеговинаXhaka has 18 shots in his last 12 games for Switzerland, 16 of them are outside the box, he has covered the 1.5 line in 6/12. He had 2 shots against Qatar (again both outside the box) and today it's more or less a must-win for Switzerland against the physical team of Bosnia that will defend for most of the time. So Xhaka should get shot opportunities. 1.82 at Betano and elsewhere1.83Спечелена+0.83
2026-06-18World CupШвейцария vs Босна и ХерцеговинаThere's a clear pattern when Ermedin Demirovic starts for Bosnia - opponents central defenders are getting fouled as Demirovic is making quite a lot of fouls (he's covered the 2.5 line in 9/14 games for Bosnia). Canada's both central defenders got fouled (4 + 1), against Wales both got fouled, against Italy Calafiori and Mancini got fouled 3 times (Bastoni was sent off after just 41 minutes so didn't play much). 1.78Спечелена+0.78
2026-06-18World CupШвейцария vs Босна и ХерцеговинаThere's a clear pattern when Ermedin Demirovic starts for Bosnia - opponents central defenders are getting fouled as Demirovic is making quite a lot of fouls (he's covered the 2.5 line in 9/14 games for Bosnia). Canada's both central defenders got fouled (4 + 1), against Wales both got fouled, against Italy Calafiori and Mancini got fouled 3 times (Bastoni was sent off after just 41 minutes so didn't play much). 1.87Спечелена+0.87
2026-06-18World CupЧехия vs Южна АфрикаKrejčí continued his streak covering this line in the 1st game of the tournament so he's now 14/15. Obviously South Africa should be an easier opponent that South Korea but Krejčí managed to cover against Faroe Islands and Girbraltar so this shouldn't be much different. 1.82Спечелена+0.82
2026-06-18World CupЧехия vs Южна АфрикаA must win for the Czechs and South Africa didn't impress against Mexico + will be missing 2 players due to red cards. Set pieces are one of the Czechs main strengths and they have covered the 4.5 corner line in 12/13 of their last official games. Even though South Africa's corner average is quite close to those of the Czech's (5.9 vs 5.8) and South Africa also concedes very few corners we can't ignore the fact that their stats were achieved against weaker opposition than the teams from Europe. 1.98Спечелена+0.98
2026-06-18World CupУзбекистан vs КолумбияI think this line underestimates Uzbekistan that has players like Shomurodov and Fayzulaev from Basaksehir up front and Khusanov from Man City in defence. Uzbekistan covered 7.5 in 18/20 offical games and Colombia opponents covered 7.5 in 16/20. Obviously different class levels across Asia and South America but we saw last night that Jordan and Iraq reached 11-12 shots against good teams like Austria and Norway. Uzbekistan also covered 12.5 in 16/20.1.98Спечелена+0.98
2026-06-18World CupУзбекистан vs КолумбияBig odds difference - 1.44 at Bet365, 1.50 at EGT-powered, 1.54 at Altenar-powered. Davinson Sanchez had 1 shot in each of the last 2 friendlies for Colombia against Jordan and Costa Rica and he even scored against Costa Rica. He had 11 shots, all of them headers, in the 15 official games prior to that, covering 0.5 in 6/15. His physical power should be a big asset against the Uzbek defence. 2Спечелена+1.00
2026-06-17World CupАнглия vs ХърватияEngland is 16/20 under this line, Croatia is 13/20 under this line. The referee Clement Turpin is 10/14 under 23.5 in his last national team games. We have two good European teams and a referee who doesn't like interrupting the flow of play in the 1st game of a long tournament. 1.75Спечелена+0.75
2026-06-17World CupПортугалия vs ДР Конго2.00 at Altenar-powered bookies, 1.85 at EGT-powered. Cristiano averages 1 shot every 17 minutes when playing for Portugal. He's covered the 4.5 line in 11/20 and the 3.5 line in 15/20. Even though he's 41 he's amassed these stats against stronger opponents than DR Congo. Golden sub is on if he doesn't get enough playing time 1.9Загубена-1.00
2026-06-17World CupПортугалия vs ДР КонгоThis is mostly an insurance bet for the Bruno Fernandes fouls - what we are seeing so far is that African teams are much less aggressive against the favourites. Portugal games are only 3/20 over 24.5 and despite DR Congo's stats and Jassim being the referee I believe that Portugal controlling the ball in big periods of the game should allow this to stay under. If this goes over it would mean that DR Congo probably makes 14-15 fouls which should lead to Fernandes covering 1.5 fouls won1.75Спечелена+0.75
2026-06-17World CupПортугалия vs ДР КонгоBruno Fernandes is the 2nd most fouled player on the Portuguese team - 12 fouls suffered in the last 12 games. Bet365 is offering just 1.72 for this market. DR Congo is a team that averages 15+ fouls per game + the referee Jassim is averaging 31+ fouls per game. 2.22Спечелена+1.22